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Posted On:Tuesday, December, 31, 2002

December 31, 2002

Author's:  Monty Guild

Hello, and warmest holiday wishes to you all. I’m hoping that you all are enjoying good health and happiness at the year’s end, and that 2003 will bring even better things to you and yours. It is time again to discuss our outlook on world stocks, currencies and precious metals for a new year.Click here to read full article...
Posted On:Friday, November, 01, 2002

November 1, 2002

Author's:  Monty Guild

I’m happy to report that the market turn we forecast in our September 30th letter, where we said we could see a bottom “in October 2002 or in a few months…” began on October 10, 2002. The rally has carried the Dow up almost 20% and many beaten down tech stocks bounced up 40-50%. Over the last few days a normal corrective phase has begun and should continue until 30-50% of the recent rally has been retraced. After this correction we expect the market to again move ahead. We are looking for a rising market over the next few months that could possibly extend for 1 to 2 years.Click here to read full article...
Posted On:Monday, September, 30, 2002


September 30, 2002

Author's:  Monty Guild

Hi, it’s September 30 and I’m writing to share our activity and to explain our outlook.


WHY WE ARE NOT WORRIED


We are holding cash, foreign currency bonds, gold shares and a small percent in U.S. Stocks with very low P/E ratios. We are not heavily invested, and what we do own are mostly contra-cyclical to U.S. stocks. We are currently 30 months into a major bear market in U.S. stocks. Many tech leaders of the 90’s are down over 90%, the NASDAQ is off 80%, the S&P 500 is off 45%. This 45% decline matches the ultimate 45% decline of 1973-1974 bear market. The duration of 30 months about matches the duration of the bear market of 1929-1932.Click here to read full article...
Posted On:Friday, August, 30, 2002

August 30, 2002

Author's:  Monty Guild

I’m writing at the end of August to give a bit of an interim update. We are getting a lot of calls from clients and friends asking about our view of the U.S. market. Have we seen the MOABO (Mother of all Buying Opportunities) as one of our clients and friends calls it or is the current market rally just a bear market bounce?Click here to read full article...
Posted On:Tuesday, June, 25, 2002

June 25, 2002

Author's:  Monty Guild

The end of June is approaching and I am writing to share my views. I have spoken to many of you recently and I have heard that many of you are deeply concerned about economic and other prospects in the U.S. There is reason to be concerned. We are in a bear market and as is our custom during every bear market since 1969 we are in cash, earning interest and waiting on the sidelines for resolution to some of the problems that will create market opportunity in coming months. Click here to read full article...
Posted On:Monday, April, 01, 2002

April 1, 2002

Author's:  Monty Guild

Hello! Spring has arrived and we hope you are enjoying good health and the joys of life in this spring of 2002. Here is our latest quarterly outlook. Please call with any questions, suggestions or other inputs. Click here to read full article...
Posted On:Tuesday, January, 01, 2002

January 1, 2002

Author's:  Monty Guild

As 2002 is at our doorstep I am writing to share our views on the global markets for securities and currencies in the coming year.


 

2001 saw a major climactic market decline, which culminated in a widespread market panic following the tragic events of September 11. The climactic sell off that ensued set the stage for a market rally, which continues at this writing.


 

This market rally can be characterized by bounces in badly battered technology stocks, and by a continuing rally in quality low P/E growth stocks that had been ignored in the technology bubble of 1999 and early 2000.


 Click here to read full article...
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