The U.S.

December 29, 2016

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New Opportunities are Opening Up, and New Risks Are Ahead:  How You Can Change, Adapt, and Profit Over the Christmas weekend, instead of enjoying time with family at home, our Senior Analyst found himself making a quick round-trip from Los...
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December 22, 2016

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Market Summary Over the next few months, we believe, the U.S. economy will grow, and certain industries are poised for more rapid growth in the immediate future.  We see no U.S. economic recession on the near horizon, and without a...
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December 15, 2016

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For the U.S. Economy to Grow, Productivity Must Rise — But The Obama administration aimed to increase U.S. labor productivity; and the incoming Trump administration has the same goal.  Although the goal is the same, their prescriptions are different. Here...
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December 08, 2016

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The Market’s Turn:  Financials In the wake of President-Elect Trump’s unexpected victory, two of the sectors we favor are financials and industrials, and we’ll briefly discuss why.  First, financials. Financials have enjoyed a strong rally in the month since the...
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December 01, 2016

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Trump Taps a Turn-Around King The Secretary of Commerce acts “as the voice of U.S. business within the President’s Cabinet.”  Trump’s pick for the post, Wilbur Ross, tells us something about the President-elect’s psychology. Mr. Ross has bought and restructured...
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November 23, 2016

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              Source: Bloomberg The post-election rally has now taken all four major U.S. indices — the Dow Jones, the NASDAQ Composite, the S&P 500, and the Russell 2000 — to new highs. The strongest...
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November 17, 2016

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Market Summary   Here is a further summary of what we see to be the likely effects of Trump’s victory.           Banks and Financials Banks and financials will be helped.  The Dodd-Frank Act will not be entirely wiped out, but...
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November 03, 2016

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Market Summary Buy Volatility and Buy Gold If You Are a Long-Term Investor U.S. stocks are getting cheaper: is a short-term market bottom near? The key event this week was the strong rise of volatility and of gold after political...
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October 27, 2016

Market Summary The key to global stock markets is the U.S. dollar and U.S. interest rates.  We have all seen U.S. interest rates rise, and that is potentially difficult for developed and emerging markets.  Developed markets will be impacted as...
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August 26, 2016

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Market Summary Pundits Are Wrong Again: Europe Continues to Grow post-Brexit Prior to the Brexit vote, many pundits were pushing the narrative that Brexit fears would create a big decline in business’ expansion plans.  They believed that the fear of...
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