U.S. Economics Economic data continue to impress, with wages finally moving higher by about 3% year over year, and S&P 500 profits expected to rise by 15–16%. More positive news is that the U.S. has become a net natural gas exporter, and with the creation of several new gasification and Read more…
Market Summary The U.S. Economy – The Tax Bill good for U.S. Economy and Good for U.S. Stock Market Readers know that we are bullish on the U.S. economic outlook. The passage of the tax bill will create further impetus for economic growth in the U.S. We will not be Read more…
Market Summary The U.S. Economy U.S. economic data for the second calendar quarter came out yesterday, and they were very strong. According to the latest revision, U.S. GDP grew by 3% in the quarter, and was far above the estimates of almost all economists. For the third quarter, the most Read more…
Money Keeps Flowing Into European and Emerging-Market Stocks — Here’s Why We began to get bullish on European and emerging-market stocks a few months ago. Now major financial media are joining us, citing the same data we’ve observed: a broad uptick in global growth and economic vitality is suggesting that Read more…
Market Summary In the last few weeks, U.S. and world equity markets have exhibited the greatest period of weakness since January because of concerns that President Trump’s tax cuts and infrastructure spending will be delayed or abandoned — and at the same time, the arrival of fears due to Read more…
We See Opportunities Across the Atlantic Our basic view on the U.S. market remains positive. As we’ve written in recent letters, we believe that the post-election rally doesn’t just reflect the optimism of businesspeople and consumers about positive developments in U.S. tax and fiscal policy. Midway through last year, markets Read more…
Market Summary We are bullish on the U.S. but cautious in most other markets. At any time, a correction may begin in the U.S. market as political battles slow down the agenda of tax cuts and deregulation proposed by the new administration. As mentioned above, any failure to have tax Read more…
Market Summary Pundits Are Wrong Again: Europe Continues to Grow post-Brexit Prior to the Brexit vote, many pundits were pushing the narrative that Brexit fears would create a big decline in business’ expansion plans. They believed that the fear of future economic decline would make businesses want to retrench. It Read more…
Market Summary We are bullish on the U.S. market for the next few weeks, and suggest buying on dips in August. Although the market is not cheap, the U.S. is a haven for money leaving Europe because of Brexit and other European problems. We also remain bullish on Brazil and Read more…
Reaching the Top of the Wall of Worry Source: Bloomberg As we head into the June earnings season, the S&P 500 has finally rallied above the all-time high set in May of last year. In our letter on June 23, we examined whether U.S. stocks are expensive. We concluded Read more…
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