As we write, the results of Georgia’s elections are down to the wire, but it looks likely that the Democratic Party will capture both of the state’s U.S. Senate seats. That would give us a 50/50 split in the Senate, with Vice President Kamala Harris as the tiebreaker — in Read more
We wish all our readers a happy New Year. In our view, those who reckon 2020 as “the worst year ever” (such as Time magazine) need some education about the world’s dark historical catalog of plague, war, and sundry catastrophe. Still, it was certainly a challenging year, and we are Read more
As we noted above, on a tactical basis, we believe a correction or consolidation is becoming visible on the horizon. The market’s rise into year-end has been strong, and as good as the big-picture backdrop is, no market goes up in a straight line forever. When the pullback or consolidation Read more
The bullish consensus for 2021 has reached near unanimity, which is an invitation to anyone with a contrarian itch to scratch it. We agree with much of the bullish thesis. Historic excess liquidity, the control of the pandemic, fiscal support, reopening economies, and energized digitization all seem to be near-unarguable Read more
As we write, major U.S. indices are just off recent all-time highs; for some, such as the Russell 2000 index of small-capitalization companies, November was the best month in history. Some evidence suggests that the outperformance of certain pandemic-crushed sectors and industries was not really a rotation from growth to Read more
We like industrial and travel recovery plays for the longer term. We remain bullish on the U.S., India, China, Japan, and Korea. We are watching Europe, but are not yet involved. Within all of these markets we continue to think good-quality tech companies can be bought on substantial corrections — which Read more
Given the volatility in the United States and the uncertainty of the election outcome, we remain bullish on certain sectors in the U.S. – the beneficiaries of accelerated digitization and virtualization. These winners are participants in the “durable themes” we identified in our recent conference call which we believe can Read more
Global Markets Many U.S. investors and businesses are on tenterhooks ahead of an election result that may see dramatic changes in the tax and regulatory structures they must navigate. Of course, there are many opportunities in the U.S. that can prosper regardless of the election outcome, as they are linked Read more
Many forces are at work that could result in a correction for U.S. markets: uncertainty around the trajectory of the pandemic; the worrisome prospect of a contested presidential election; and typical seasonal weakness. And yet, as we write, the S&P 500 remains near an all-time high. Why? The investment backdrop Read more
Markets continue with sideways volatility as the election gets closer. Given the level of uncertainty that surrounds both the election itself and the prospect of a confused and uncertain outcome that lasts for weeks, it isn’t surprising that marginal investment dollars would sit it out, waiting for clarity. We know Read more
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