Guild’s Basic Needs Index
Bad Apples In Emerging Markets
Where Are the Worst EM Troubles? Emerging-market stocks, for U.S. investors, have not been treated kindly by trade-war saber rattling during 2018 — as of this writing, down more than 17% from their late-January highs. Source: Bloomberg Finance LLP Until trade conflicts took center stage, though, emerging markets performed well
Market Summary
The U.S. Economy and Stock Market Fundamentally, the U.S. economy continues to be strong, and recent data indicate that the trend will continue. Fundamental stock market indicators are bullish. Corporate profit growth is strong, exceeding 23% for the first six months. Strong corporate profits are positive and correlated with stock
Magic Leap Is Magic, But Not As Much of a Leap As Hoped
Several times over the past few years, we’ve written about the secretive augmented reality startup, Magic Leap, which has raised big money from technology giants, including Alphabet [NASDAQ: GOOG], and from the Saudi sovereign wealth fund. “Virtual reality” (VR) headsets, such as Facebook’s Oculus, mask external reality entirely and place
Currencies and Sanctions: A New World of Foreign Policy?
Drama has unfolded in emerging markets, starting last week as the Trump administration stiffened tariffs against Turkish steel and aluminum, exacerbating the Turkish lira’s sharp decline. Stock markets soured globally as investors tried to determine whether Turkey’s problems were relatively isolated, or if there could be wider ramifications. European financials
Guild Investment Management Market Commentary August 10th 2018
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AsBL821Oj4o Our founder Monty Guild discusses India and it’s economic growth prospects for the week of August 6th, 2018. To learn more about Guild Investment Management, please go to www.guildinvestment.com.
Guild Investment Management Market Commentary August 10th 2018
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ueGvhm4tUp4 Our founder Monty Guild discusses the global markets for the week of August 6th, 2018. In the summary, he discusses equities, bonds, currencies, and cryptocurrencies. Monty also introduces a new investment strategy geared toward investors seeking income in a rising interest rate environment and an alternative to bonds and
Guild Investment Management Market Commentary August 10th 2018
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EzNrh9sVfy0 Our founder Monty Guild discusses China and the Chinese Yuan for the week of August 6th, 2018. To learn more about Guild Investment Management, please go to www.guildinvestment.com.
Potential Trouble Spots?
Market Summary U.S. and World Outlook: Pivotal Influence Is the Value of the U.S. Dollar The U.S. dollar continues to be strong and this continues to disincentivize U.S. investors putting money into commodities, non-U.S. stock and bond markets. Simultaneously, the strong U.S. dollar incentivizes foreign investors to put money in
The Yuan’s Falling, and the Market’s Not Panicking
The Yuan’s Falling, and the Market’s Not Panicking The steep drop in the value in U.S. dollar terms of the Chinese yuan contributed a lot to the difficulties experienced by the U.S. stock market in 2015 and 2016. The yuan’s initial sharp devaluation in early August, 2015 caused the S&P
Guild Investment Management Podcast August 10th 2018
Our founder and Chief Investment Officer Monty Guild discusses where the growth prospects are, China, and summarizes the Global Investment Market for the week of August 6th, 2018. Monty also introduces a new investment strategy geared toward investors seeking income in a rising interest rate environment and an alternative to
Where Is The Growth Story Strong?
India Economics: Steaming Ahead The Indian stock market has seen a strong year, continuing the rise from the bottom at the end of 2016. Source: Bloomberg Finance LLP When expressed in U.S. dollars, however, the chart takes on a different hue. U.S. dollar strength has meant that in U.S. dollar
Guild Investment Management Podcast August 3rd 2018
Our senior research analyst Rudi von Abele discusses earnings growth, growth versus value investing, and summarizes the week’s markets. We also discuss cryptocurrency and the discussion of starting a cryptocurrency fund and being a RIA and fiduciary. To learn more about Guild Investment Management, please go to www.guildinvestment.com to learning more.
Market Summary for week of July 30th, 2018
The U.S. Economy and Stock and Bond Markets As trade tensions have escalated during 2018, we have told our readers that we would inform them if we believed the likelihood of a real trade war was becoming greater. Although a full-blown trade war has not yet broken out, we now
Growth Versus Value: Time For a Rotation?
For the first several years of the post-recession period, U.S. growth and value stocks tracked one another pretty closely. They began to diverge in 2014, and in 2017, that divergence accelerated rapidly. Source: Bloomberg Finance LLP Does the recent faltering of tech tell us that a change may be coming
Earnings Are Strong, And It’s Not Just Tax Cuts
Quarterly earnings are in full swing, affording investors one of their periodic views into the financial performance of a wide spectrum of companies, and the chance to hear some valuable anecdotal comments from company management about the state of their businesses, their industries, and the wider economy. Here at Guild,
