Guild’s Basic Needs Index

Where Is The Growth Story Strong?

India Economics: Steaming Ahead The Indian stock market has seen a strong year, continuing the rise from the bottom at the end of 2016. Source:  Bloomberg Finance LLP When expressed in U.S. dollars, however, the chart takes on a different hue.  U.S. dollar strength has meant that in U.S. dollar

Read More »

Guild Investment Management Podcast August 3rd 2018

Our senior research analyst Rudi von Abele discusses earnings growth, growth versus value investing, and summarizes the week’s markets.   We also discuss cryptocurrency and the discussion of starting a cryptocurrency fund and being a RIA and fiduciary.  To learn more about Guild Investment Management, please go to www.guildinvestment.com to learning more.

Read More »

Market Summary for week of July 30th, 2018

The U.S. Economy and Stock and Bond Markets As trade tensions have escalated during 2018, we have told our readers that we would inform them if we believed the likelihood of a real trade war was becoming greater.  Although a full-blown trade war has not yet broken out, we now

Read More »

Growth Versus Value:  Time For a Rotation?  

For the first several years of the post-recession period, U.S. growth and value stocks tracked one another pretty closely.  They began to diverge in 2014, and in 2017, that divergence accelerated rapidly. Source:  Bloomberg Finance LLP Does the recent faltering of tech tell us that a change may be coming

Read More »

Earnings Are Strong, And It’s Not Just Tax Cuts

Quarterly earnings are in full swing, affording investors one of their periodic views into the financial performance of a wide spectrum of companies, and the chance to hear some valuable anecdotal comments from company management about the state of their businesses, their industries, and the wider economy.  Here at Guild,

Read More »

Guild Investment Management Podcast July 30th 2018

Our President, Anthony Danaher summarizes last week’s global markets and discusses equities, blockchain, the Cato Institute, and much more. To learn more about Guild Investment a registered investment advisor. Please go to www.guildinvestment.com and sign up for our weekly commentary where we discuss topics like this and many others.

Read More »

Everything Getting Worse? Actually, Lots of Things Are Getting Better

We’re no strangers to contrarian analysis.  When the overwhelming weight of sentiment goes in one direction, we ask ourselves what potential pitfalls the consensus might be missing.  Often that puts us in the position of identifying weaknesses and potential problems that others have glossed over — sometimes because of a

Read More »

What Growth Drivers Should Investors Love?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uVfApCBqQ3Q&feature=youtu.be Our senior research analyst, Rudi von Abele discusses some growth drivers of economic growth and company and sector growth.  Don’t miss an update and stay on top of the market and the economy and subscribe to our youtube channel.  Visit www.guildinvestment.com and subscribe to our weekly email commentary where we discuss

Read More »

Capex and R&D: Long-Term Growth Drivers Investors Should Love

The investor enthusiasm that began 2018 was based on the sense of a late-cycle acceleration.  The global expansion was hitting its stride, and this would bode well for capital expenditures and therefore, many thought, for U.S. industrials. Last week we discussed some of the reasons why the script has not

Read More »

Guild’s Global Market Summary

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9u-91YjaU3A Guild’s Global Market Summary Our founder and chief investment officer Monty Guild summarizes the global markets and provides

Read More »

There is a better way to measure economic growth

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yJhLzIVIkuA There is a better way to measure economic growth Our founder and chief investment officer Monty Guild discusses a better way to measure economic growth in the U.S. To learn more about our portfolio management and our services, please go to www.guildinvestment.com.

Read More »

What are some of the risks in the stock market today?

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x6k-yVoIMYk   What are some of the risks in the stock market today? Our founder and chief investment officer Monty Guild discusses some of the global stock market risks in the short term and longer term. To learn more about our portfolio management and our services, please go to www.guildinvestment.com.

Read More »

Guild Investment Podcast July 14th 2018

Our founder and chief investment officer Monty Guild summarizes the global markets and provides what sectors and industries to avoid and which we favor.   To learn more about our portfolio management and our services, please go towww.guildinvestment.com.

Read More »

Surveying the Risk Landscape: Our Philosophy

Surveying the Risk Landscape:  Our Philosophy At the end of every letter we write, we sign off by saying “We welcome your calls and questions.”  Market turmoil and political events in 2018 have led to a number of questions from our readers and investment management clients.  As we answer these

Read More »

We’ve moved!

Here you’ll find the historical archives of Guild’s Global Market Commentary, and our occasional public posts. To read all our content, please visit our Substack page to subscribe.