Guild’s Basic Needs Index

What Kills Bull Markets?

When Investing, We Must Keep the Big Picture In Mind The U.S. and many global stock markets have continued to move ahead.  Even rising tensions on the Korean peninsula, and the theoretical prospect of nuclear war, were met by markets with a brief shrug — and this during a seasonal

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Second-Quarter U.S. Earnings Come In Strong

93% of S&P 500 companies have reported second-quarter earnings; the remainder will continue into early Sep-tember. As of this writing, bottom-up earnings for the S&P stand at $32.63, representing a 5.9% quarter-over-quar-   ter increase and a 10.6% year-over-year increase. In short, earnings are strong — and with four quarters

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Second-Quarter U.S. Earnings Come In Strong

Second-Quarter U.S. Earnings Come In Strong 93% of S&P 500 companies have reported second-quarter earnings; the remainder will continue into early September.  As of this writing, bottom-up earnings for the S&P stand at $32.63, representing a 5.9% quarter-over-quarter increase and a 10.6% year-over-year increase.  In short, earnings are strong —

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Is China Doomed? Breath

From time to time, coverage of China rises to a crescendo in the popular media. China coverage reflects some of the same schizophrenia that afflicts much of the media’s output. At many points in the past several years, accord-ing to the media, China has been a tot-tering giant whose economy

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Is China Doomed?

Is China Doomed?  Don’t Hold Your Breath  Bitcoin’s from time to time, coverage of China rises to a crescendo in the popular media.  China coverage reflects some of the same schizophrenia that afflicts much of the media’s output.  At many points in the past several years, according to the media,

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The Bitcoin Fork

The Bitcoin Fork Bitcoin’s wild gyrations have this year become even wilder, driven largely by an ongoing “civil war” within the community of coders and miners who make up the cryptocurrency’s ecosystem.   Source:  Bloomberg So what’s the nature of this civil war, what are the stakes, and what might

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