Guild’s Basic Needs Index

Second-Quarter U.S. Earnings Come In Strong

Second-Quarter U.S. Earnings Come In Strong 93% of S&P 500 companies have reported second-quarter earnings; the remainder will continue into early September.  As of this writing, bottom-up earnings for the S&P stand at $32.63, representing a 5.9% quarter-over-quarter increase and a 10.6% year-over-year increase.  In short, earnings are strong —

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Is China Doomed? Breath

From time to time, coverage of China rises to a crescendo in the popular media. China coverage reflects some of the same schizophrenia that afflicts much of the media’s output. At many points in the past several years, accord-ing to the media, China has been a tot-tering giant whose economy

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Is China Doomed?

Is China Doomed?  Don’t Hold Your Breath  Bitcoin’s from time to time, coverage of China rises to a crescendo in the popular media.  China coverage reflects some of the same schizophrenia that afflicts much of the media’s output.  At many points in the past several years, according to the media,

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The Bitcoin Fork

The Bitcoin Fork Bitcoin’s wild gyrations have this year become even wilder, driven largely by an ongoing “civil war” within the community of coders and miners who make up the cryptocurrency’s ecosystem.   Source:  Bloomberg So what’s the nature of this civil war, what are the stakes, and what might

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Retail Tremors Shake the Payment Ecosystem

Consumers who use credit and debit cards are typically aware only of the card they’re using and the merchant they’re buying from; the payment pro-cess is a “black box” from a consumer’s perspective.   But as the first image below shows, the black box hides a complex ecosys-tem of firms

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