Guild’s Basic Needs Index

Is China Doomed? Breath

From time to time, coverage of China rises to a crescendo in the popular media. China coverage reflects some of the same schizophrenia that afflicts much of the media’s output. At many points in the past several years, accord-ing to the media, China has been a tot-tering giant whose economy

Read More »

Is China Doomed?

Is China Doomed?  Don’t Hold Your Breath  Bitcoin’s from time to time, coverage of China rises to a crescendo in the popular media.  China coverage reflects some of the same schizophrenia that afflicts much of the media’s output.  At many points in the past several years, according to the media,

Read More »

The Bitcoin Fork

The Bitcoin Fork Bitcoin’s wild gyrations have this year become even wilder, driven largely by an ongoing “civil war” within the community of coders and miners who make up the cryptocurrency’s ecosystem.   Source:  Bloomberg So what’s the nature of this civil war, what are the stakes, and what might

Read More »

Retail Tremors Shake the Payment Ecosystem

Consumers who use credit and debit cards are typically aware only of the card they’re using and the merchant they’re buying from; the payment pro-cess is a “black box” from a consumer’s perspective.   But as the first image below shows, the black box hides a complex ecosys-tem of firms

Read More »

Markets Get a Short Correction

The world stock and metals markets got a correction earlier this week. We knew a correction was coming because the markets had a big run   without much of a pullback. On Tuesday, we recommended selling the Vanguard Emerging Market Fund (NYSE: VWO) as we thought the pull-back in emerging

Read More »

Guild’s Premium Global Market Commentary

It’s hard to believe, but the Republican campaign circus has been in full swing for almost six months already — remember the Iowa straw poll in August? It’s been wildly entertaining, and has narrowed from ten rings to   four. But in the past two weeks, with the unveiling of

Read More »

We’ve moved!

Here you’ll find the historical archives of Guild’s Global Market Commentary, and our occasional public posts. To read all our content, please visit our Substack page to subscribe.