We See Opportunities Across the Atlantic Our basic view on the U.S. market remains positive. As we’ve written in recent letters, we believe that the post-election rally doesn’t just reflect the optimism of businesspeople and consumers about positive developments in U.S. tax and fiscal policy. Midway through last year, markets Read more
What the Fed Means For Your Portfolio World markets are facing a major change, as interest rates have begun a multi-year uptrend. U.S. and foreign economic data continues to improve. On many fronts, including employment, capital spending, salary increases, backlogs of orders, housing demand, retail sales of home-related items, and Read more
Is Your Portfolio Prepared For the New Market Environment? The change that is underway in U.S. markets is no run-of-the-mill, short-term shift. This is a sea-change — not business as usual. We’re referring to the end of a thirty-year period during which interest rates were falling — a thirty-year bull Read more
The U.S. Growth Comeback Is In Its Early Innings Here’s why we’re bullish on U.S. economic growth for the rest of 2017, and probably longer. The Great Recession was not a standard textbook economic contraction, and the recovery has not been an ordinary recovery — neither in its structure, nor Read more
Global Stocks Stocks are attractive in the U.S. and several other countries, driven by improvements in economic performance. Since the third quarter of 2016, U.S. corporate profits have begun to rise after a six-quarter stint of sideways earnings. Since the end of the first half of 2016, manufacturing PMIs have Read more
Running On Empty: Crumbling U.S. Infrastructure Will Take Trillions To Fix, Creating Big Opportunities An unfolding crisis in northern California has brought unexpected attention to the infrastructure push that was one of the campaign planks of the new administration. The Oroville Dam is, in a sense, a crowning achievement of Read more
Looking Back on 2017 Let’s take a step back and imagine that 2017 is almost over — and that we’re looking back from a standpoint in late December. What will we see has happened in the U.S. market during the remainder of 2017? First, we think we’ll be reviewing a Read more
Market Summary We are bullish on the U.S. but cautious in most other markets. At any time, a correction may begin in the U.S. market as political battles slow down the agenda of tax cuts and deregulation proposed by the new administration. As mentioned above, any failure to have tax Read more
Trump’s Plans Are Not Mysterious… He’s Fulfilling Campaign Pledges The new administration’s whirlwind first days in office have led some observers to wonder what they’re up to. Regardless of what we think about the political or economic ramifications of new policies, it’s important for investors to orient themselves and have Read more
Tailwinds Still Strong For U.S. Materials Industries Back in early 2016, when Donald Trump’s victory in a contentious Republican Party primary still looked unlikely, the global commodity complex reached the bottom of the decline that had begun in mid-2014. From that bottom, commodities rose unevenly through the rest of the Read more
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