Employment
Jobs, Inflation, and Gaslighting
While some economic data — notably year-over-year GDP growth — are flashing “recession,” some other important data are contributing to positive investor and trader psychology, and helping maintain the current counter-trend stock market rally. It can be awhile before reality comes calling… and that means that we wouldn’t want to Read more…
Automation
Jobs & Robots
Yesterday, Wednesday, June 1, saw the publication of April JOLTS data – “job openings and labor turnover” — by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This report is one of the key data sources evaluated by the Fed as it monitors the U.S. employment situation; remember that its dual mandate is Read more…
Employment
Blistering Small Business Formation Bodes Well For Creative Destruction
Unexpectedly poor job numbers for April caused a moment of consternation that the economic recovery was stalling. May and June’s reports were also misses, coming in below analyst estimates, although less sharply than for April. The concern served to highlight a topic of enduring interest for us — new business Read more…
Employment
Rising Employment and the Coming Taper
As many states have now ended the additional pandemic unemployment benefits provided by the Federal government, we are seeing in real time that those benefits were in fact serving to suppress employment and encourage workers to stay home; unemployment is falling faster there than in states that have maintained the Read more…
Employment
Questions And Worries For 2020 — And Our Answers
Markets in 2019 truly climbed a wall of worry, recovering from the late 2018 swoon and rising to new highs even in the midst of a host of political, geopolitical, financial, and economic concerns. Some of those worries have been resolved, some have been put to one side, others are Read more…
Brexit
Market Summary: November 8, 2019
The U.S. Most large U.S. indices have pushed to new all-time highs, on the back of optimism stoked by positive earnings (as we have have been anticipating over the past few weeks) and perhaps because of optimism about U.S./China trade negotiations. We see that negotiation process continuing to play out, Read more…
