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  • Market Commentary
    • Global Market Commentary
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Trade War

China

The Trade War and China’s Long Game

At the very end of 2019, China added liquidity to its financial system by loosening the reserve requirements for banks and allowing them to lend more.  This move followed three other such cuts earlier in the year, making a total of seven since early 2018.  Cutting required reserves is a Read more

By Rudolph von Abele, 7 yearsJanuary 13, 2020 ago
Employment

Questions And Worries For 2020 — And Our Answers

Markets in 2019 truly climbed a wall of worry, recovering from the late 2018 swoon and rising to new highs even in the midst of a host of political, geopolitical, financial, and economic concerns.  Some of those worries have been resolved, some have been put to one side, others are Read more

By Rudolph von Abele, 7 yearsJanuary 6, 2020 ago
Canada

U.S. / Mexico / Canada Trade Agreement Nears Ratification By Congress

As we write, there’s breaking news that top negotiators from Canada and Mexico have joined U.S. counterparts in Washington on November 27 to discuss the USMCA trade agreement that has been stalled for many months in the U.S. Congress.  Recent comments from Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Representative Richard Neal suggest Read more

By Rudolph von Abele, 7 yearsNovember 29, 2019 ago
Brexit

Market Summary: November 8, 2019

The U.S. Most large U.S. indices have pushed to new all-time highs, on the back of optimism stoked by positive earnings (as we have have been anticipating over the past few weeks) and perhaps because of optimism about U.S./China trade negotiations.  We see that negotiation process continuing to play out, Read more

By Rudolph von Abele, 7 yearsNovember 8, 2019 ago
Bitcoin

Market Summary

The U.S. The U.S. market got a modest boost from the announcement of a trade truce with China, in which China agreed to boost some U.S. agricultural imports, and the U.S. suspended a tariff hike on $250 billion worth of Chinese imports.  According to the announcement, the initial deal will Read more

By Rudolph von Abele, 7 yearsOctober 18, 2019 ago
Canada

New North American Trade Deal Makes Progress… Slowly

Investors trying to stay focused on significant economic and financial news have been especially challenged in recent weeks, with high political drama unfolding in Washington and seemingly monopolizing journalists’ attention.  One of the longstanding legislative items that could be significant for markets and the U.S. economy is the fate of Read more

By Rudolph von Abele, 7 yearsOctober 7, 2019 ago
China

What Happens After China’s National Day on October 1?

Every ten years, the People’s Republic of China has a major celebration on October 1, the anniversary of the country’s founding in 1949.  This October 1 will be the 70th anniversary — the first major celebration occurring under China’s President For Life, Xi Jinping.  The Chinese government has been taking Read more

By Rudolph von Abele, 7 yearsSeptember 27, 2019 ago
Currencies

Europe Posts Dismal Data: What Could That Mean for the Dollar?

The Eurozone manufacturers’ PMI, a monthly survey of purchasing managers’ views about current trends in manufacturing, fell to 45.6 in September, down from 47 in August.  Anything below 50 is contractionary, and the September reading is the lowest in almost seven years.  Germany’s manufacturing PMI fell to 41.4 in September, Read more

By Rudolph von Abele, 7 yearsSeptember 27, 2019 ago

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