Where Are the Worst EM Troubles? Emerging-market stocks, for U.S. investors, have not been treated kindly by trade-war saber rattling during 2018 — as of this writing, down more than 17% from their late-January highs. Source: Bloomberg Finance LLP Until trade conflicts took center stage, though, emerging markets performed well Read more
Drama has unfolded in emerging markets, starting last week as the Trump administration stiffened tariffs against Turkish steel and aluminum, exacerbating the Turkish lira’s sharp decline. Stock markets soured globally as investors tried to determine whether Turkey’s problems were relatively isolated, or if there could be wider ramifications. European financials Read more
India Economics: Steaming Ahead The Indian stock market has seen a strong year, continuing the rise from the bottom at the end of 2016. Source: Bloomberg Finance LLP When expressed in U.S. dollars, however, the chart takes on a different hue. U.S. dollar strength has meant that in U.S. dollar Read more
If an impending trade war is about to create havoc for emerging markets, someone forgot to tell investors. Emerging-market equity inflows have continued apace since the specter of a trade war emerged at the beginning of March. (Dollar-denominated emerging-market debt moved to modest outflows, moving similarly to U.S. investment-grade corporate Read more
We’ve been expressing our positive view about Vietnam as a favored investment destination in emerging markets since last June. Since then, the Ho Chi Minh Index has appreciated more than 50% in U.S. dollar terms. Source: Bloomberg Stock market rallies require a combination of economic and financial fundamentals followed by Read more
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