How Much China Is In Your Index Fund?
In early June, Chinese ride-hailing giant Didi Chuxing [DIDI] filed for a public stock offering on the New York Stock Exchange. To call DIDI “the Chinese Uber” [UBER] would be an understatement; in fact it might be more accurate to call Uber “the American Didi.” In the past 12 months, Read more…
The Election and the New Cold War
The news is shifting. Covid-19 is still front and center, of course. As we noted last week, we think the pandemic’s development is not as alarming as many believe. With several months of data now available, it has become clearer that the virus’ risks are heavily skewed towards older individuals Read more…
India: Manufacturing Destination
Last week we reported about two large stakes taken in Indian telecom giant Reliance Jio by U.S. investors. Their interest focused particularly on the Indian consumer, one of the world’s great untapped consumer markets. Jio’s aggressive rollout of cheap internet service and mobile devices to currently unconnected Indians attracted a Read more…
The Trade War and China’s Long Game
At the very end of 2019, China added liquidity to its financial system by loosening the reserve requirements for banks and allowing them to lend more. This move followed three other such cuts earlier in the year, making a total of seven since early 2018. Cutting required reserves is a Read more…
Questions And Worries For 2020 — And Our Answers
Markets in 2019 truly climbed a wall of worry, recovering from the late 2018 swoon and rising to new highs even in the midst of a host of political, geopolitical, financial, and economic concerns. Some of those worries have been resolved, some have been put to one side, others are Read more…
U.S. / Mexico / Canada Trade Agreement Nears Ratification By Congress
As we write, there’s breaking news that top negotiators from Canada and Mexico have joined U.S. counterparts in Washington on November 27 to discuss the USMCA trade agreement that has been stalled for many months in the U.S. Congress. Recent comments from Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Representative Richard Neal suggest Read more…
Market Summary: November 8, 2019
The U.S. Most large U.S. indices have pushed to new all-time highs, on the back of optimism stoked by positive earnings (as we have have been anticipating over the past few weeks) and perhaps because of optimism about U.S./China trade negotiations. We see that negotiation process continuing to play out, Read more…
Market Summary
The U.S. The U.S. market got a modest boost from the announcement of a trade truce with China, in which China agreed to boost some U.S. agricultural imports, and the U.S. suspended a tariff hike on $250 billion worth of Chinese imports. According to the announcement, the initial deal will Read more…
New North American Trade Deal Makes Progress… Slowly
Investors trying to stay focused on significant economic and financial news have been especially challenged in recent weeks, with high political drama unfolding in Washington and seemingly monopolizing journalists’ attention. One of the longstanding legislative items that could be significant for markets and the U.S. economy is the fate of Read more…